Hospitalogy

🏥 Healthcare’s Innovation Paradox

Blake Madden · OCT 17

Hospitalogists,

Welcome to the Thursday edition of Hospitalogy! I’ve held a lot of parallel discussions lately talking about AI’s current role in healthcare. While its ultimate role is intended to create value, improve efficiency, and drive productivity, we are struggling through the current paradoxical reality given industry forces and healthcare’s role as a job creation vehicle for the broader economy. As always I welcome thoughts and dissent!

BLAKE'S BREAKDOWN

Going deeper on an interesting topic, theme, or trend 

The Healthcare AI Paradox Copy anchor linkCopied

Overarching thesis: AI and technology will not fix healthcare until leaders redesign the work it touches and align incentives so savings come from substitution, not addition. The path is to target routine administrative volume, remove low value tasks, redeploy people to patient-facing or other productive roles in other industries, and return verified savings to bedside capacity and purchasers.

 

Here’s an interesting thought experiment: If we mapped our administrative work from intake to payment, which tasks persist only because our processes, individual behaviors, and incentives have not kept up with the tools now available?

 

The current trajectory of our healthcare system requires the implementation of new technology to sustain current trends in utilization, chronic disease, and labor supply, ultimately to enhance productivity. But to date, we haven’t seen those productivity gains.

 

Instead, the administrative state has steadily grown as advances in technology and therapeutics gets washed away by local market politics, general industry conservatism, and job displacement fear at hospitals and health systems across the country.

 

A line I hear often in healthcare is…ha, another new technology. Who’s going to pay for that?

 

That sentiment is toxic and anti-progress. The truth is, those people are afraid to innovate; afraid to change. And the feeling makes sense in an industry marked conservatism (due to lives being at stake), heavy regulatory burden, and political pressure. To take actual chances means putting organizational goals at risk or going against the fray of a political leaning. And so for those reasons, healthcare stakeholders keep buying speed and are expectedly getting drag. New software lands, a new committee forms, and the headcount stays the same. There’s no sense of urgency. The charts look up and to the right, the invoices look prettier, and the jobs & menial work does not leave the building. What’s the definition of insanity again? It’s NOT doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results. No - insanity is doing the same thing over and over, knowing the result is going to be the same, and then doing it anyway.

 

Today, we’re in a period of insanity. We are not seeing transformation. Rather, we’re seeing a tax on innovation in the form of job sustenance and administrative bloat. The industry’s last gasp to protect and preserve an archaic system and the old guard that clings to it at the top.

 

The problem is not the existence of the tools. The problem is the way healthcare adopts them. Leaders layer technology on top of legacy process, promise no staff will be harmed in the making of this movie, and then we all wonder why the cost curve never gets bent. Financial incentives stay the same and headcount doesn’t shrink. Across many systems, new software increased licenses and meetings but left unit cost and cycle time unchanged. That is not a technology failure. It is a sequencing failure: tools were added before roles and incentives were redesigned.

 

With solutions like ambient scribing, revenue cycle and documentation, or analytics and supply chain, folks in these roles are either afraid for their livelihoods in the first place, or afraid to use AI-enabled tools or analytics for fear their role will be displaced. So what actually ends up happening is…suboptimal deployment and adoption of promising technology, and leaders think these solutions aren’t making an impact when all along it’s a human-centric, psychological problem rooted in survivalism. Status quo bias, loss aversion, career risk.

 

Take that supply chain or analytics example, for instance. With payor price transparency data, teams can compare reimbursement rates by code and modifier and walk into negotiation or strategy talks with hard evidence and rate data in their markets. On the procurement side, supply chain personnel have the ability to work with firms who can give them real-time cost information for needed supplies or purchased services for their hospital or provider organization. But the problem is that these dashboards or analytics files sit next to the old playbook, and the old way of doing things, where relationships and incumbent strategies carry the day, and behavior change is required to materially impact results given new processes.

 

Those involved see the bright shiny object at their disposal and the capabilities of this new tech in their day to day roles. They see their old workflows, pointless committee meetings, burdensome compliance tasks that can be automated away, and they see their lives flashing before their eyes - the drastically fewer calls needed, or word documents to keep track of. And so they panic…and shut down.

 

If you see evidence of this phenomenon at your organization, put incentives in place to encourage innovation and adoption of new tools. But I would also welcome broader thoughts on how to solve for this paradox. Do we just wait it out? Will it eventually self-correct over time? I hope so.

The political reality of healthcare jobs markets  Copy anchor linkCopied

Healthcare is 2025’s blue collar job economy. It’s an uncomfortable truth of our industry. The benefits costs employers see to the tune of 8-10% per year nationwide go straight to things like lower and middle management job creation in healthcare…or government (and, of course, the brokers).

Adding to this point, hospitals anchor local economies. Boards and mayors expect and prefer stability and growth. Leaders attend the same fundraisers as their employees. That reality pushes tech adoption toward addition, not substitution. You know what doesn’t win over local communities? Headlines that hit KFF or Stat News with items like “hospital makes draconian cuts to staff after placing bets on AI rather than people.” Couple this with local political pressures and longstanding mission statements and you have a recipe for stagnation or added costs rather than efficiency and productivity.

When incentives collide, the path of least resistance wins. That path is almost always minimal change.

Administrative spend and roles have grown for decades. Some of that growth was the price of complexity. Much of it was duplication, defensive documentation, and a belief that more oversight solves everything. The result is an odd dissonance.

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Over time, we should see what happened in other industries and automation happen in healthcare.

  • Banking used automation to change unit economics. ATMs took routine tasks. Banks opened more branches for a time and shifted tellers toward service and sales. Jobs did not vanish in a week. The operating model evolved as the channel mix evolved.
  • Retail rebuilt service around new channels. E commerce was not a website on top of stores. It became a change in fulfillment, inventory, and customer support. Winners refit operations for the world they were actually in. Losers bolted a cart onto a tired floor plan and called it digital.

The common thread is sequencing. Technology delivered real value - not just added cost - when leaders redesigned process, redefined roles, and aligned incentives at the same time. And yes…we did see attrition and failures. Banks closed. Sears failed. I think…we have to be okay with some failure in healthcare and not cry foul every time it happens. For instance, whatever’s going on with rural healthcare clearly isn’t the answer.

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Maybe I’m framing this problem more simply than it really is. I KNOW healthcare is complex and trust is scarce. administration and checks and balances NEED to exist to a certain degree. But improvement and innovation happens when leaders stop trying to keep every stakeholder equally comfortable. It’s time to ruffle some feathers. Move people to work that matters more and where they aren’t just taking up space or performing outdated tasks the system no longer needs. Reinvest the savings in patient facing capacity or, God forbid, return it to employers to reinvest in their own growing businesses. Be good stewards of local market economies. We’re not talking about creating the next depression - we’re talking about reskilling, optimizing administrative bloat, creating better more sustainable business models and having an actual sense of urgency in healthcare to get shit in gear.

Thanks for the read! Let me know what you thought by replying back to this email.

 

— Blake  

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The weekly read for the people running the business side of care delivery.

Written by Blake Madden

By Blake Madden

Hospitalogy

The weekly read for the people running the business side of care delivery.